Week 7 NFL Player Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Sunday, October 23

Week 7 NFL Player Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Sunday, October 23

NFL player props

Oct 9, 2022; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Los Angeles Chargers running back Austin Ekeler (30) celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the second half against the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Week 7 NFL player props are open to bet at online sportsbooks
We have 13 NFL player props for Week 7 including TD props for Fournette, Pittman, Andrews, Jacobs and Ekeler
See all the passing, rushing, and receiving lines, as well as touchdown odds, plus our best player prop picks below

Which quarterbacks are in line for a big day this weekend? Which running backs and receivers will pile up the yardage? We’ve crunched the numbers and come up with our top Week 7 NFL player props for Sunday here.

Going 7-5 last week for +1.06 units, now brings the season record of NFL props to 33-29 and a near-dead-even unit count at +0.01 units. Week 6 had the potential for so much more though with Rhamondre Stevenson missing the over in rushing yards by four yards and Marquise Brown missing his receiving yards over by two.

We’re back at it in Week 7 with our top 13 prop picks for the weekend.

Read on for our Week 7 NFL player props, as well as all the lines for each set of NFL player props.

Passing | Rushing | Receiving | Touchdown Props

NFL Passing Props

Quarterback
Completions
Passing Yards
Passing TDs
Daniel Jones (NYG)
18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
198.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +180 | Un -250)
Trevor Lawrence (JAX)
21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
229.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
Marcus Mariota (ATL)
15.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)

0.5 (Ov -245 | Un +180)
Joe Burrow (CIN)
26.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)
284.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
2.5 (Ov +165 | Un -225)
Tom Brady (TB)
24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
265.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -215 | Un +155)
P.J. Walker (CAR)

156.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
0.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
Jacoby Brissett (CLE)
18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
218.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -200)
Lamar Jackson (BAL)

218.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
Jared Goff (DET)
23.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)
248.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Dak Prescott (DAL)
22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
260.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125)
Aaron Rodgers (GB)
21.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105)
230.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Taylor Heinicke (WAS)
21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
218.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +160 | Un -215)
Matt Ryan (IND)
22.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
252.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)
Ryan Tannehill (TEN)
19.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105)
220.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -180)
Davis Mills (HOU)
22.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)
231.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160)
Derek Carr (LV)
23.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)
254.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Zach Wilson (NYJ)
17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
185.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
0.5 (Ov -225 | Un +165)
Russell Wilson (DEN)



Patrick Mahomes (KC)
25.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
282.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -205)
Jimmy Garoppolo (SF)
22.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100)
252.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Geno Smith (SEA)
22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
258.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105)
Justin Herbert (LAC)
25.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105)
284.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov -220 | Un +160)
Kenny Pickett (PIT)
20.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
223.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
1.5 (Ov +155 | Un -210)
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)
21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110)
247.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
1.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)

All prop odds as of October 21. Be sure to check out this unique DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend

Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes both have the highest touchdown passing totals at 2.5 in the odds above.

 

 

Best Passing Props to Bet for Week 7

1) Justin Herbert over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-180); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Justin Herbert and the Chargers rank third in the league in passing at 280 yards per game. Herbert should find plenty of space in the Seahawks’ secondary as Seattle ranks 22nd in passing yards per game allowed, giving up 245 YPG.

Seattle shut down Kyler Murray and the Cardinals last week, as well as Andy Dalton the week prior. However, that week the Saints ran all over the Seahawks for 235 yards. The last time Seattle went up against a competent QB in Jared Goff of the Lions, they let him throw for 378 yards. Seattle has allowed 27.2 PPG, ranking way down in 29th.

Herbert is definitely a competent QB and has thrown for 238, 228, 340, 297, 334 and 279 yards this season,

Add in the fact that the Chargers’ D only ranks 18h themselves in passing defense, along with Seattle being the 14th-ranked passing attack, and if this one turns into a shootout, Herbert will rack up enough yards and opportunities to throw for a couple of touchdowns to go over his touchdown prop.

Herbert has only thrown multiple TDs once in his past four weeks but had three TDs in Weeks 1 and 2. Against this porous Seahawks’ D, he should throw for multiple TD passes again.

Passing yards per game this season

Josh Allen 333.0
Matt Ryan 294.2
Patrick Mahomes 289.3
Justin Herbert 286.0
Tom Brady 275.3 pic.twitter.com/tcVFg5bBX3

— NFL on CBS ? (@NFLonCBS) October 18, 2022

2) Matt Ryan over 251.5 passing yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Two weeks ago Matt Ryan threw for 251 yards in a 12-9 win over the Broncos. That is essentially where his Week 7 passing prop is lined here. But last week he threw for 389 yards and three TDs. And, back in Week 4 against this very same Titans team, Ryan was 27/37 for 356 yards and two passing TDs.

On the season Ryan ranks second in passing yards only behind the Bills’ Josh Allen.

Meanwhile, Tennessee ranks 21st in points allowed per game (23.6) and 32nd in passing yards allowed per game (287.6).

Ryan should be in line to have another big day through the air and go over his passing yards prop.

NFL Rushing Props

Player
Rush Attempts
Rush Yards
Rushing + Receiving Yards
Saquon Barkley (NYG)
18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
106.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
James Robinson (JAX)

45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Travis Etienne (JAX)

51.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Marcus Mariota (ATL)

33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Tyler Allgeier (ATL)



Joe Mixon (CIN)
16.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110)
63.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
90.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Leonard Fournette (TB)
16.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
65.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
99.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
D’Onta Foreman (CAR)

41.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Kareem Hunt (CLE)
9.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
35.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Nick Chubb (CLE)
16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
72.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
83.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Lamar Jackson (BAL)



Jamaal Williams (DET)



Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)
15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
76.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Tony Pollard (DAL)

35.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)

Aaron Jones (GB)
12.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
54.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
81.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
AJ Dillon (GB)

44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Antonio Gibson (WAS)

21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)

Brian Robinson Jr (WAS)
13.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
54.5 (Ov +105 | Un -145)
61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Jonathan Taylor (IND)

65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
82.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Derrick Henry (TEN)

89.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
105.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Dameon Pierce (HOU)

66.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100)
83.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Josh Jacobs (LV)
18.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
82.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
105.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Breece Hall (NYJ)
15.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100)
71.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
94.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Michael Carter (NYJ)
6.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
26.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
39.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Melvin Gordon III (DEN)



Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)
9.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
35.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
53.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Jeff Wilson Jr (SF)

57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Kenneth Walker III (SEA)
16.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
68.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
87.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Austin Ekeler (LAC)
13.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Najee Harris (PIT)
11.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)
44.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
61.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Raheem Mostert (MIA)
14.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105)
62.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Josh Jacobs and Derrick Henry are both expected to have big days on the ground with rushing totals in the 80s.

Best Rushing Props to Bet for Week 7

1) Austin Ekeler over 56.5 rushing yards (-115); risk 1 unit DraftKings Sportsbook 

We touched on Seattle’s poor defense earlier. Not only are they 22nd in YPG allowed in passing defense, but they are 31st in rushing defense as well.

Even though the Cardinals only managed nine points, last week, Kyler Murray still ran for 100 yards. Taysom Hill and Alvin Kamara both eclipsed the century mark in Week 5. Jamaal Williams ran for 108 yards in Week 4. Cordarrelle Patterson had 141 in Week 3, and Jeffrey Wilson 84 in Week 2.

Austin Ekeler averages 58.2 yards on the ground and 43.5 yards in the passing game. He’s actually the second-most targeted “receiver” for the Chargers and leads the team in receptions with 41. Mike Williams is a distant second in receptions with 30. In what looks like a game with plenty of points, Ekeler will have every opportunity to rack up the yards.

Austin Ekeler currently leads all RBs in:

⚡️ 31 receptions
⚡️ 214 receiving yards
⚡️ 279 yards after catch
⚡️ 11 receiving first downs
⚡️ 13 missed tackles forced after a catch pic.twitter.com/NSVOtaYkRB

— Pinhead Sports®  (@_PinheadSports) October 13, 2022

2) Josh Jacobs over 81.5 rushing yards (-115); risk 1 unit DraftKings Sportsbook

The Raiders entered the bye at 1-4 despite scoring 19, 23, 22, 32 and 29 points. The defense has been the issue.

Josh Jacobs has played a big part in their success on offense and is coming off two huge performances rushing for 154 and 144 yards against the Chiefs and Broncos respectively.

Jacobs now ranks third overall in league rushing only behind Saquon Barkley and Nick Chubb. Jacobs is in line to have a day against the Texans’ 30th-ranked run D allowing 164.8 YPG.

Josh Jacobs last 2 games:

154 YDS | 1 TD
144 YDS | 2 TD

3rd in total rush yards this season with only 5 games played. pic.twitter.com/7YiM1IBOO2

— StatMuse (@statmuse) October 19, 2022

3) Ezekiel Elliott over 64.5 rushing yards (-120); risk 1 unit DraftKings Sportsbook

The Cowboys are averaging 118.8 rushing yards per game, good for 16th overall. They should take to the ground early and often against a Lions’ team ranked dead last in rushing yards allowed per game at 167.8,

The only problem with picking a Cowboys’ running back NFL player prop is that both Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard are both very involved in the run game. Pollard has 292 yards on the year and saw 11 carries for 44 yards last week. He ran for 86 yards the week prior and has topped the century mark once earlier this season. But, in six games, he’s only seen double-digit carries twice.

The last time Ezekiel Elliott played Detroit at home:

25 Carries
152 yards
4 catches
88 yards
1 Total TD pic.twitter.com/2OPVFoZZNS

— ????•????✭ (@6Blackhawks) October 19, 2022

Elliott has 386 yards on the year and has seen double-digit carries in all six weeks. Outside of just ten in Week 1, he’s never had less than 13 attempts. His yardage outputs have seen him finish with 81 yards last week, and previously 78, 49, 73, 53 and 52 yards. He would’ve gone over this total of 64.5 in three of the past four weeks and he did so against better run Ds than the Lions.

When Detroit last saw action, they let backup running back Rhamondre Stevenson run all over them for 161 yards. The week prior Rashaad Penny had 151 and Dalvin Cook 96 before that.

NFL Receiving Props

Player
Receptions
Receiving Yards
Longest Reception
Darius Slayton (NYG)
2.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
28.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Saquon Barkley (NYG)
3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
12.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Christian Kirk (JAX)
4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110)
51.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Evan Engram (JAX)
3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155)
30.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Zay Jones (JAX)
3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
17.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Drake London (ATL)
3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125)
44.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Kyle Pitts (ATL)
3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
43.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Hayden Hurst (CIN)
3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
30.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
14.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN)
6.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
81.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Tee Higgins (CIN)
5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
73.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Tyler Boyd (CIN)
3.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)
39.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
17.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Chris Godwin (TB)
5.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105)
61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Mike Evans (TB)
4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
DJ Moore (CAR)
4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Ian Thomas (CAR)

12.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
8.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Amari Cooper (CLE)
4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
David Njoku (CLE)
3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
37.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110)
17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Mark Andrews (BAL)
5.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110)
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)
6.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
T.J. Hockenson (DET)
3.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120)
40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
CeeDee Lamb (DAL)
6.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Michael Gallup (DAL)

52.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Dalton Schultz (DAL)
3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140)
30.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Allen Lazard (GB)
4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Robert Tonyan (GB)
3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
31.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Romeo Doubs (GB)
4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160)
47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Curtis Samuel (WAS)
4.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105)
46.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Terry McLaurin (WAS)
4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Alec Pierce (IND)
3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
43.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Michael Pittman Jr (IND)
5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
68.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (TEN)
2.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Robert Woods (TEN)
4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
50.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Brandin Cooks (HOU)
5.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
60.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Nico Collins (HOU)
3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Davante Adams (LV)

83.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Hunter Renfrow (LV)

40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Corey Davis (NYJ)
2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
31.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Garrett Wilson (NYJ)
3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
38.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
17.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Courtland Sutton (DEN)



Jerry Jeudy (DEN)



JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC)
4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
47.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -110)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC)
3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -175)
37.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Travis Kelce (KC)
6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Brandon Aiyuk (SF)
4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
54.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Deebo Samuel (SF)
5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -150)
59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
22.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
George Kittle (SF)
4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
DK Metcalf (SEA)



Tyler Lockett (SEA)



Keenan Allen (LAC)



Mike Williams (LAC)



Chase Claypool (PIT)
4.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165)
42.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
17.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Diontae Johnson (PIT)
5.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130)
61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Pat Freiermuth (PIT)
3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
34.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
15.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Jaylen Waddle (MIA)
5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Tyreek Hill (MIA)
6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
78.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)
25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)

Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce and CeeDee Lamb are all among the leaders in total expected receptions in the table above.

Best Receiving Props to Bet for Week 7

1) Tyreek Hill over 6.5 receptions (-105); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Outside of Week 3 where Tyreek Hill was held to just two catches on four targets against Buffalo, Hill’s next season-low was going 7/7 in Week 5, and that was in a blowout defeat to the Jets where Skylar Thompson was under center for Miami.

Every other week this season Hill has seen 12-15 targets and 8-12 catches.

With Teddy Bridgewater under center last week for most of the game after Thompson got knocked out, Hill went 12/15 for 177 yards.

Against the Steelers’ 30th-ranked pass defense, Hill should be in line for another big day and enough catches to go over his receptions player prop.

The only player in NFL history with at least 10 receptions and 150 receiving yards in 3 of his team’s first 6 games of a season…

Tyreek [email protected] | @cheetah pic.twitter.com/0aDtksho20

— NFL on CBS ? (@NFLonCBS) October 17, 2022

 

2) Davante Adams over 82.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Davante Adams only caught 3/7 passes in Week 5, but he still went off for 124 yards and two touchdowns, He’s passed the century mark in 3/5 games this season and averages 82.8 yards per game.

Houston allows 249.4 YPG in the air, ranking 23rd. In four of their five games, they’ve allowed their opponent’s top receiver to total over 100 yards. The only game they didn’t allow it, was against the Bears, who have a moribund offense.

The Texans aren’t great on the road (1-2 so far) and look to be in for a tough day as 7-point underdogs in Las Vegas.

Exciting Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code: Unlock a Huge $1,250 Bonus for NFL, MLB, NBA or NHL!

3) Amari Cooper over 4.5 receptions (-105); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Amari Cooper was the fifth-most targeted player in Week 6 with 12 targets. It was back-to-back weeks with 12 targets for Cooper, something he’s seen in four of six games.

He only caught four of those 12 passes for 44 yards but did find the endzone, his fourth score of the year. In the other three games where he saw ten or more passes, he caught seven, seven and nine receptions.

The Ravens are 28th in passing yards allowed per game and have actually allowed the second-most yards to opposing WRs this season at 1,189. Only the Steelers with 1,263 yards allowed to WRs have given up more.

Cooper should see his share of passes from Jacoby Brissett as the Brown’s top receiver and I’m betting him to go over 4.5 receptions in his NFL player prop.

Week 6 Air Yards Leaders (% of team share)

Tyreek Hill 181 (42.6%)
Allen Lazard 162 (43.2%)
Mark Andrews 152 (49.0%)
Marquise Brown 151(44.4%)
Chris Godwin 135 (48.4%)
Amari Cooper 129 (26.8%)
Darnell Mooney 121 (51.7%)
Zach Ertz 117 (34.4%)
Stefon Diggs 113 (40.4%)

(1/2)

— Alex Johnson (@a_johnsonFF) October 18, 2022

Touchdown Props

Team
Odds to Score 1st TD
Odds to Score Any TD
Saquon Barkley (NYG)
+550
-130
Daniel Jones (NYG)
+1500
+250
Daniel Bellinger (NYG)
+1800
+340
James Robinson (JAX)
+700
+115
Travis Etienne (JAX)
+750
+135
Christian Kirk (JAX)
+850
+150
Jamaal Williams (DET)
+950
+120
D’Andre Swift (DET)
+1000
+135
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)
+1100
+145
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)
+500
-130
CeeDee Lamb (DAL)
+600
-105
Tony Pollard (DAL)
+850
+140
Drake London (ATL)
+1400
+195
Tyler Allgeier (ATL)
+1500
+210
Caleb Huntley (ATL)
+1600
+220
Joe Mixon (CIN)
+450
-145
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN)
+500
-130
Tee Higgins (CIN)
+650
+110
Leonard Fournette (TB)
+350
-155
Mike Evans (TB)
+550
+105
Chris Godwin (TB)
+600
+125
D’Onta Foreman (CAR)
+1400
+260
DJ Moore (CAR)
+1500
+285
Chuba Hubbard (CAR)
+1900
+360
Nick Chubb (CLE)
+700
-110
Kareem Hunt (CLE)
+1400
+210
Amari Cooper (CLE)
+1500
+225
Mark Andrews (BAL)
+550
-105
Kenyan Drake (BAL)
+600
+100
Lamar Jackson (BAL)
+700
+125
Aaron Jones (GB)
+550
+100
AJ Dillon (GB)
+700
+140
Allen Lazard (GB)
+900
+175
Brian Robinson Jr (WAS)
+1000
+180
Terry McLaurin (WAS)
+1300
+230
Curtis Samuel (WAS)
+1400
+260
Jonathan Taylor (IND)
+500
-125
Michael Pittman Jr (IND)
+950
+160
Alec Pierce (IND)
+1400
+260
Derrick Henry (TEN)
+400
-160
Robert Woods (TEN)
+950
+175
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (TEN)
+1400
+270
Dameon Pierce (HOU)
+1000
+135
Brandin Cooks (HOU)
+1200
+170
Nico Collins (HOU)
+2000
+310
Davante Adams (LV)
+450
-135
Josh Jacobs (LV)
+475
-135
Foster Moreau (LV)
+900
+170
Breece Hall (NYJ)
+700
+130
Michael Carter (NYJ)
+950
+195
Corey Davis (NYJ)
+1100
+235
Melvin Gordon III (DEN)
+900
+180
Courtland Sutton (DEN)
+900
+185
Jerry Jeudy (DEN)
+1100
+225
Kenneth Walker III (SEA)
+800
-110
DK Metcalf (SEA)
+1100
+145
Tyler Lockett (SEA)
+1200
+160
Austin Ekeler (LAC)
+425
-180
Keenan Allen (LAC)
+750
+110
Mike Williams (LAC)
+750
+110
Travis Kelce (KC)
+650
-120
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)
+850
+120
JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC)
+1200
+185
Jeff Wilson Jr (SF)
+650
-110
Deebo Samuel (SF)
+650
-110
Christian McCaffrey (SF)
+750
+110
Najee Harris (PIT)
+1000
+140
Diontae Johnson (PIT)
+1400
+210
George Pickens (PIT)
+1800
+285
Tyreek Hill (MIA)
+550
-105
Raheem Mostert (MIA)
+550
+100
Jaylen Waddle (MIA)
+600
+110

Saquon Barkley, Austin Ekeler and Derrick Henry are all heavy odds-on favorites to find the endzone in Week 7 NFL player props.

Here’s who I like to find the endzone and why for my Week 7 NFL player props:

Austin Ekeler anytime touchdown (-170); risk 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook: No one on the Chargers has more than two receiving touchdowns but Ekeler is one of those players. He also has four touchdowns on the ground. That’s six TDs in six games going up versus a porous Seattle defense.
Josh Jacobs anytime touchdown (-135); risk 0.75 units at DraftKings Sportsbook: Jacobs has three rushing touchdowns in his last three games. Only three teams have allowed more touchdowns to running backs than the five that Houston has allowed.
Leonard Fournette anytime touchdown (-155); risk 0.75 units at DraftKings Sportsbook: Leonard Fournette is heating up with four touchdowns in his past four games, three receiving and one rushing. Last week he combined for 101 yards rushing and receiving and the week prior he combined for 139. Fournette is the lead back for the Bucs and also leads the team in targets and receptions. Against a Panthers’ team who have fired their coach, is down to a backup QB, and who have traded away Robbie Anderson and Christian McCaffrey, the Bucs should be able to take out some frustrations and create opportunities for Fournette to find the endzone.
Mark Andrews anytime touchdown (-105); risk 0.75 units at DraftKings Sportsbook. Mark Andrews accounts for 33 percent of the targets to Ravens’ receivers and 35 percent of the receptions. With five receiving touchdowns on the year, Andrews is third in TDs among receivers. Cleveland is 29th in points allowed per game and if Baltimore scores a few touchdowns, surely one will be going the way of Andrews.
Michael Pittman Jr anytime touchdown (+160); risk 0.75 units at DraftKings Sportsbook. Against the league’s worst passing defense, Pittman should find some room to run in the Titans’ secondary. Pittman hasn’t scored since Week 1 and was kept quiet against the Titans in Week 4 with just 31 yards receiving. But last week he exploded for 134 yards and 13 catches on 16 passes from Matt Ryan. His lack of scoring is concerning, but at +160 odds against a weak Titans’ secondary, he’s worth a play in your NFL player props.

 

Author: Johnny Scott